Weekly Forecast, August 25, 2023: A Longer Wait For Positive Treasury Spreads

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The streak of negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spreads has now reached 287 trading days, 9 trading days longer than the third longest streak since 1976. The probability that the inverted yield curve ends by February 23, 2024 is now 7.6% compared to 13.1% last week. That

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