FNDX: Downside Risk Outweighs Upside Potential

sitox ETF Overview Schwab Fundamental U.S. Large Company ETF (NYSEARCA:FNDX) owns a portfolio of U.S. large-cap stocks with high sales, excessive operating cash flow generation, and substantial dividend and share buyback plans. The fund has delivered solid return since the beginning of the year. Its valuation is also fair relative to the historical average. However,…

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3X Returns With Constrained Exposure – Tail Risk Hedging

Jonathan Kitchen Introduction For about a year now I’ve been trading 3X-leveraged UPRO with tail-risk hedges using XSP options. That combination offers unique advantages which will be explained here. Let’s be clear about the “tail risk” concept. The goal is to constrain worst-case losses, or to state a more statistical objective, constrain 98%-confidence losses. Tail-risk…

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Apple’s Buyback News May Be Late For Warren Buffet – There’s Still Some Risk. (AAPL)

iQoncept Investment Thesis Apple (NASDAQ:NASDAQ:AAPL) recently announced its Q2 FY24 earnings results that beat estimates. Two straight takeaways from their earnings report were the hardware devices business not doing as badly as markets estimated and its record share buyback program, which is now on record as the largest ever share repurchase program. This earnings announcement…

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Buy This Market Despite Rising Geopolitical Risk (SP500)

belterz/E+ via Getty Images Last night, Israel attacked Iran’s territory directly. This is the second major escalation of what has been a mostly covert international confrontation between Israel and Iran. But now, Iran has launched an attack on Israel from its territory and vice versa. Luckily, the limited nature of the Israeli attack appeared to…

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BKHY ETF: Screening Out Overpriced Credit Risk

ryasick Investing in corporate credit at this point in the cycle is risky to me, given just how narrow credit spreads are. Having said that, there is still opportunity, so long as you access the space by limiting exposure to overpriced and vulnerable bonds. That’s why the BNY Mellon High Yield Beta ETF (NYSEARCA:BKHY) is…

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Aviva: Good Diversification And Modest Risk, Maintain Buy (AIVAF)

JHVEPhoto/iStock Editorial via Getty Images At the Lab, we are excited to comment on Aviva plc (OTCPK:AIVAF) (OTCPK:AVVIY) once again. Following our previous publication stating that Aviva was not a potential takeover candidate, we continued to emphasize the company’s undervaluation. At that time, the company was a unique opportunity for investors, especially considering a 2024…

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Travelzoo: Business Model Transformation With Considerable Execution Risk (NASDAQ:TZOO)

den-belitsky Introduction and thesis Travelzoo (NASDAQ:TZOO) is a global media commerce company that provides insider deals and experiences for members through its website, email newsletters, social media channels, and mobile apps. The company offers discounted deals on travel, entertainment, dining, and other lifestyle activities, partnering with thousands of travel and entertainment companies worldwide. We are…

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CrowdStrike Stock: Too Much Downside Risk (NASDAQ:CRWD)

John M Lund Photography Inc CrowdStrike’s (NASDAQ:CRWD) dominance in endpoint security and adjacent markets is becoming more apparent over time. While many cybersecurity companies face an ongoing slowdown, CrowdStrike’s growth appears to be stabilizing at a reasonably high rate given the company’s size, a notion that is supported by robust hiring and reasonably aggressive long-term…

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SMH ETF: Nvidia Concentration Risk (NASDAQ:SMH)

jiefeng jiang Investment Thesis The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:SMH) has demonstrated remarkable performance, with a year-to-date daily total return of 31.03% and a 1-year daily total return of 81.45% as of March 22nd. SMH’s success can be attributed to its significant holdings in leading semiconductor companies, particularly Nvidia (NVDA) and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), which…

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FNGS: Too Much Of A Good Thing Adds To Downside Risk (NYSEARCA:FNGS)

loveguli/E+ via Getty Images The MicroSectors FANG+ ETN (NYSEARCA:FNGS) offers targeted exposure to a specific group of ten highly traded mega-cap stocks. From the original “FANG” term coined more than a decade ago referring to outperforming high-growth tech leaders covering Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) “Facebook”, Apple Inc. (AAPL), Netflix, Inc. (NFLX), and Alphabet Inc. Class…

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High Risk, High Reward: A Deep-Dive Analysis Of VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH)

MF3d Investment Thesis The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:SMH) has performed remarkably over the last five years. The fund’s low expense ratio and fees combined with close replication of what has been a massively lucrative industry has generated superb returns for shareholders. However, an increasingly bearish macro combined with what I believe is a potential overvaluation…

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Prudential: Consider Both Upcoming Results And 2024 Risk Factors (NYSE:PUK)

akinbostanci Elevator Pitch Prudential plc (NYSE:PUK) [2378:HK] [PRU:LN] shares are rated as a Hold. I wrote about Prudential’s dividends and the prospects for its Greater China businesses in my December 7, 2023 initiation article. My current write-up focuses on the preview of PUK’s FY 2023 financial results and the company’s 2024 business outlook. Prudential’s shares…

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With Nvidia At $2 Trillion, Where Is The Risk Concentrated?

Ignatiev/iStock via Getty Images By Christopher Gannatti, CFA No stock has been hotter in this artificial intelligence (AI) cycle than Nvidia (NVDA) (NVDA:CA), which recently eclipsed a market capitalization of $2 trillion. Whether it can continue at this pace is a much more difficult question. We scoured a universe of thematic equity exchange-traded funds (ETFs)…

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Nike: Risk Of Growth Stagnation Outweighs Reward (NYSE:NKE)

hapabapa It’s clear that Nike (NYSE:NKE), the famous footwear and apparel brand, is a great business. Its innovative marketing and willingness to outspend its competitors in order to gain competitive advantage have rewarded them with ROCE consistently above 20%. With Nike trading around its pre-pandemic high, there seems to be pessimism surrounding the company. Nike…

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Credo Technology: Concentration Risk Still Overshadows Hyperscaler Progress (NASDAQ:CRDO)

Jacob Wackerhausen/iStock via Getty Images Credo Technology (NASDAQ:CRDO) is a company providing high-speed connectivity solutions, such as integrated circuits / ICs, Active Electrical Cables / AECs, and Serializer and Deserializaer / SerDes Chiplets. Share performance has been relatively strong since going public in 2022 at the price of $11 per share. Despite the demand shock…

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Stevanato: Destocking And Valuation Risk (NYSE:STVN)

volodyar Following the Fiscal Year 2023 results release, we are back to analyze Stevanato Group (NYSE:STVN). As a reminder, our team has a buy-rating view supported by Secular Tailwinds In Biologics Demand, 2) a CAPEX plan with an economic moat, and 3) a margin expansion projection. After the Q4 results, we are moving Stevanato Group…

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The Fed Is At Risk Of Making A Big Mistake

Chip Somodevilla On the first day of Powell’s testimony, not much happened, and he failed to take control. There was very little that was new. This comes despite continued signs of inflation reaccelerating and robust economic data. If the Fed is correct in its assessment that inflation will return to target, the unemployment rate will…

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Taking Selective Risk In Credit

champpixs Transcript As the macro backdrop improves in the near term, we get granular to seize opportunities in the new regime. We see more market risk-taking as inflation falls and the Federal Reserve readies interest rate cuts. 1) Credit yields The spread between yields for sovereign bonds and credit has steadily tightened, even as the…

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Universal Music Group: Digging Into The Overexaggerated TikTok Risk (OTCMKTS:UMGNF)

Marcelo Hernandez Universal Music Group (OTCPK:UMGNF) (OTCPK:UNVGY), the largest pure-music company in the world in terms of sales, reported fourth-quarter and full-year results that handily beat expectations. With the TikTok battle, a newly announced reorganization, and the continued rise in share price, there’s a lot to get into. Let’s dig in. Introduction To Universal Music…

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Meta Stock Downgrade: A Growing Risk All Investors Must Consider

LIONEL BONAVENTURE/AFP via Getty Images Meta Platforms’ (NASDAQ:META) (META:CA) stock has been on a bull run over the past year, as it delivered strong advertising revenue growth, and the company’s ‘Year of Efficiency’ paid off. In the previous article, we discussed how Meta’s AI initiatives are promising sources of growth, with the company benefitting from…

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Stratasys: Hefty Return Not Without Risk (NASDAQ:SSYS)

Westend61/Westend61 via Getty Images Stratasys (NASDAQ:SSYS) is an Israeli-US company among the leading global manufacturers of 3D printers and consumables used in the additive manufacturing industry. If interested in the industry, here are my previous articles on Materialise NV (MTLS), 3D Systems Corporation (DDD), Proto Labs (PRLB), Xometry (XMTR), and The 3D Printing ETF (PRNT)….

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Calumet Stock: Fits Firmly Within The ‘Moderate Risk, High Reward’ Portfolio Bucket

metamorworks The following segment was excerpted from this fund letter. Calumet Specialty Products Partners (NASDAQ:CLMT) We recently initiated an investment in Calumet in the event-driven portfolio. Calumet fits firmly within the “moderate risk, high reward” bucket of our portfolio for reasons that will be apparent. Calumet is a refining and specialty chemical company with three…

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Minimising Index Risk By MVP

Viktor Aheiev/iStock via Getty Images As the UK share market shows possible signs of weakness early in 2024, we look at ways of reducing equity risk. In an earlier blog, we explored the FTSE 100 Target Volatility index, which adjusts its exposure to equities and cash to target a specific level of index volatility. In…

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