Recessions, Stagflation, And Bear Markets

Ryan McVay/DigitalVision via Getty Images The month of May has been a blockbuster so far for the bulls, as the major market indexes erase the April showers that shed more than 5% off the S&P 500 from its all-time high. Corporate earnings reports continue to impress, the dollar has started to weaken again, and both…

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Medical Properties Trust Stock: Don’t Fall For This Bear Market Rally (MPW)

24K-Production Investors in embattled specialized hospital REIT operator Medical Properties Trust, Inc. (NYSE:MPW) were likely stunned the recent release of MPW’s fourth-quarter earnings results didn’t lead to a further downfall in its stock. As a result, the dip-buying momentum following its January selloff seems to have continued in earnest as investors consider whether the “bad…

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Bull Or Bear? Emerging Markets Bonds Outperform In Both

ugurhan Emerging markets bonds once again outperformed DM bonds, this time in a bond bull market year. The VanEck Emerging Markets Bond Fund was up 3.88% in December, compared to 4.12% for its benchmark. Egypt (dollar-denominated) was the biggest outperformer, along with Chile (local- and hard currency) and Colombia (local currency). Thailand, Indonesia, and Romania…

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Matterport’s Bull And Bear Cases Unveiled (NASDAQ:MTTR)

Maxiphoto Investment Thesis Matterport, Inc. (NASDAQ:MTTR) creates immersive 3D virtual tours for real estate, allowing users to explore properties remotely and gain detailed insights. The company goes further by evolving into a property intelligence agent, offering unique solutions that digitize physical spaces, streamline workflows, and revolutionize the way we interact with the built world. Matterport…

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Organon: Poor Q3 Earnings Make Bear Case (NYSE:OGN)

PM Images Investment Overview Organon & Co. (NYSE:OGN), formed via Pharma giant Merck & Co.’s (MRK) spinout of its Established Brands, Women’s Health and Biosimilars divisions, announced its Q3 earnings on Thursday, November 2. I covered Organon’s Q2 earnings in a deep dive note for Seeking Alpha in August. I gave the stock a “Hold”…

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Sentiment Update: A Bear Market Inflection Point

Sabine Hortebusch/iStock via Getty Images The Inflection Point An inflection point is a moment in time when small but critical events determine long term trends. We think today is such a moment (red circle) and is defined by this question: “Is the recent, two month, 8% decline just a normal correction in a bull market…

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The Warren Buffett Bear Market

DNY59 Because this subject can easily lead down many avenues of discussion (and disagreements), I’m going to make it short for my own sanity and well-being. Stocks are Really Bonds in Disguise By survey, few people know how a stock is actually valued – and there is a simple test. Can you write down the…

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The Fed Sets Another Bear Trap

niphon/iStock via Getty Images I think Fed officials set the stage for one of the greatest bear traps of all time yesterday with the adjustments they made to their Summary of Economic Projections. What is a bear trap? It is a false signal that a reversal is coming from what was an up-trending stock market…

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Raiffeisen Bank International: Recent Developments Support The Bear Case (OTCMKTS:RAIFF)

SlavkoSereda/iStock Editorial via Getty Images In a previous article discussing Raiffeisen Bank International AG (OTCPK:RAIFF; OTCPK:RAIFY), I identified two main risks: the bank’s significant reliance on its Russian subsidiary and its exposure to Signa Group. There have been further negative developments both at Signa (kindly note, that following, unless otherwise stated, “Signa” refers to the…

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Hello Bear Market Theme | Seeking Alpha

24K-Production The current Bull Market Markets have been on the rise since January. This has surprised a lot of people especially since we are in a rising interest rate environment. Bull and bear markets always gain traction from an underlying theme. However, this theme may not always be based on complete reality but something that…

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SPIP: Navigating The Bond Bear Pit

Torsten Asmus Investment Thesis The SPDR Portfolio TIPS ETF (NYSEARCA:SPIP) has declined by over 20% since the start of the bond bear market in late 2021. As a result, SPIP now trades at 2010 levels after the rapid inflation resurgence in 2021-2022. Sentiment in the Treasury space remains pessimistic due to heavy losses since early…

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A Bond Bear Market Made In America

Viktor Aheiev By Padhraic Garvey, CFA, Regional Head of Research, Americas The US economy continues to refuse to lie down – a key driver of long rates At the beginning of 2023 marketing budgets were cut, in anticipation of a period of hunkering down. US CEO confidence had already nose-dived as 2023 approached, as had…

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